PwC: ’80 million cars less in Europe by 2030′
According to a study by international consultancy and tax advice company PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) different forms of car sharing will reduce the total number of cars in Europe by 80 million by 2030. This means going from 280 million cars to 200 million. But traffic will still rise, because shared cars are used more frequently.
“In a few years owning a private car, which is the norm today, will be only one out of many mobility concepts”, says Christophe Stürmer, automotive expert at PwC. According to the consultancy company one out of three kilometres driven in Europe will be in some kind of shared car form, a tendency visible in cities and on the countryside.
Sharing your car
Question is if the general public will be ready to accept new forms of mobility and will share their vehicle with others. According to the PwC study, 54% of the Germans exclude this totally, while 84% of Chinese say they are ready to do it.
Development of electrification and autonomous driving will feed the growth of shared mobility. Some drives will be done empty while an autonomous taxi is going to pick up clients for example. A shared vehicle will drive an average of 58.000 km per year, roughly speaking the equivalent of a taxi, compared to 13.230 km for a non-shared car.
Car lasting 3,9 years
Consequence will be that a shared car is to be replaced sooner than an individual car, being after 3,9 years compared to 17,3 years. Due to this fact, the number of new car registrations should increase with a third to 24 million units a year by 2030, Pwc calculates.
“Car manufacturers and automotive suppliers will have to make critical decisions in the next years”, says Stürmer, “they will have to invest heavily, compromising their margins, while new technologies and players like Google are boosting competition. This may be fatal for too small manufacturers.”